Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.