Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.