Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.