Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%).
