Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro4 - 0Cerro Porteno
FT(HT: 2-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 61.8% | 23.89% | 14.31% |
| Both teams to score 38.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
