Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an America de Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.