Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.