Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.23%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
