Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guangzhou R&F in this match.
Result | ||
Qingdao | Draw | Guangzhou City |
30.43% | 25.37% | 44.19% |
Both teams to score 54.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% | 48.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% | 70.97% |
Qingdao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% | 29.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% | 65.92% |
Guangzhou City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% | 22.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.56% | 55.44% |
Score Analysis |
Qingdao | Draw | Guangzhou City |
1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.43% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.19% |