Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.