Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Jianye win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Jianye win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.