Sh. Shenhua

2 - 0

Henan Jianye

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.