Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
