Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlanta United |
56.54% ( 0.34) | 21.53% ( -0.08) | 21.92% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.36% ( 0.03) | 38.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.06% ( 0.04) | 60.94% ( -0.03) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( 0.12) | 13.55% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% ( 0.23) | 40.64% ( -0.23) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( -0.21) | 31.02% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( -0.25) | 67.32% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.55% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
11 | DC United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 29 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 41 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
8 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Dallas | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
13 | St Louis City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 27 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |