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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
LA Galaxy

Salt Lake
0 - 1
LA Galaxy


Oviedo (55'), Gomez (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pec (74')
Yamane (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-4 Salt Lake
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

This is set to be a tight affair, with both sides having enjoyed strong MLS campaigns so far. We expect a draw, mirroring the outcome of their last two encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 58.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
58.31% (-0.453 -0.45) 20.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 21.31% (0.473 0.47)
Both teams to score 62.92% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06% (0.73299999999999 0.73)33.94% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.21% (0.82400000000001 0.82)55.79% (-0.82 -0.82)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.46% (0.107 0.11)11.54% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.55% (0.226 0.23)36.45% (-0.221 -0.22)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.84 0.84)28.87% (-0.836 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (1.029 1.03)64.74% (-1.024 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 58.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.31%
    Draw 20.38%
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 8.94% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.103 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.31%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy

Real Salt Lake
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-2
Salt Lake
Pec (54'), Berry (90+4')
Aude (18')
Arango (20', 40')
Crooks (23')
Oct 15, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-2
Salt Lake
Joveljic (7'), Costa (34')
Alfaro (66'), Aguirre (75')
Julio (45+1'), Luna (76')
Eneli (54')
Jun 8, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
Salt Lake
3-2
LA Galaxy
Kreilach (19', 45+6' pen.), Savarino (51')
Glad (32'), Kreilach (56'), Eneli (61')
Brugman (82' pen.), Costa (84')
Neal (59')
Jun 1, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-3
LA Galaxy
Musovski (51'), Ruiz (67')
Gomez (54'), Mastroeni (55'), Musovski (57'), Brody (64'), Ruiz (83')
Brugman (45+4' pen.), Rodriguez (72'), Boyd (74')
Edwards (66')
Oct 2, 2022 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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