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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
DC United

New England
1 - 2
DC United

Peltola (74' og.)
Langoni (54'), Gil (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (3'), Benteke (8')
Santos (72'), Bartlett (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-1 New England
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-4 DC United
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-3 DC United

Given the importance of Saturday's clash in their bid for a playoff spot, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Gillette Stadium as both sides go all out in search of maximum points. DC United picked up a morale-boosting comeback victory in midweek and we are backing them to come away with all three points against the out-of-sorts hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
43.85% (-0.695 -0.7) 24.24% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 31.91% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.631 0.63)43.19% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.62 0.62)65.59% (-0.62 -0.62)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)19.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.97% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.789 0.79)26.04% (-0.789 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (1.05 1.05)61.08% (-1.05 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 43.85%
    DC United 31.91%
    Draw 24.24%
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: New England vs DC United

New England Revolution
36.4%
Draw
9.1%
DC United
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
DC United
3-1
New England
Benteke (34', 72', 90+3')
Santos (49'), Stroud (54'), Fletcher (77')
Gil (67')
Vrioni (12'), Gil (39'), Chancalay (70'), Harkes (90')
Vrioni (25')
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
New England
4-0
DC United
Bou (44'), Harkes (45+6', 49'), Hines-Ike (73' og.)
Wood (33')

Klich (61')
Klich (90+1')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 24, 2022 12.30am
DC United
3-2
New England

Gressel (33')
Buksa (86')
Jones (65'), Buksa (87'), Kessler (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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