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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
DC United

New England
1 - 2
DC United

Peltola (74' og.)
Langoni (54'), Gil (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (3'), Benteke (8')
Santos (72'), Bartlett (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-1 New England
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-4 DC United
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-3 DC United

Given the importance of Saturday's clash in their bid for a playoff spot, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Gillette Stadium as both sides go all out in search of maximum points. DC United picked up a morale-boosting comeback victory in midweek and we are backing them to come away with all three points against the out-of-sorts hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
43.85% (-0.695 -0.7) 24.24% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 31.91% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.631 0.63)43.19% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.62 0.62)65.59% (-0.62 -0.62)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)19.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.97% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.789 0.79)26.04% (-0.789 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (1.05 1.05)61.08% (-1.05 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 43.85%
    DC United 31.91%
    Draw 24.24%
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: New England vs DC United

New England Revolution
36.4%
Draw
9.1%
DC United
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
DC United
3-1
New England
Benteke (34', 72', 90+3')
Santos (49'), Stroud (54'), Fletcher (77')
Gil (67')
Vrioni (12'), Gil (39'), Chancalay (70'), Harkes (90')
Vrioni (25')
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
New England
4-0
DC United
Bou (44'), Harkes (45+6', 49'), Hines-Ike (73' og.)
Wood (33')

Klich (61')
Klich (90+1')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 24, 2022 12.30am
DC United
3-2
New England

Gressel (33')
Buksa (86')
Jones (65'), Buksa (87'), Kessler (89')
rhs 2.0
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