Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
59.92% ( -0.11) | 20.37% ( -0.01) | 19.71% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.76% ( 0.21) | 36.24% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.64% ( 0.23) | 58.36% ( -0.23) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.19% ( 0.03) | 11.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.96% ( 0.07) | 37.04% ( -0.07) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( 0.24) | 31.69% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.89% ( 0.28) | 68.11% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 59.92% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 60 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 64 | -29 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |