Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Houston2 - 1New England
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Houston
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 New England Revolution
While New England have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, their away form in particular this season has been well below the norm, and we feel they will struggle to contain the Dynamos on their home patch in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | New England Revolution |
64.51% ( 0.07) | 19.03% ( 0.01) | 16.45% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
