We said: Austin FC 1-2 Houston Dynamo
Despite the returns of Driussi, Hines-Ike and Valencia, Austin's recent inability to win on their turf means Houston should fancy their prospects of nicking a positive result in the Texan battle this weekend, thus sealing a fourth consecutive MLS road triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.