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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
0 - 1
Houston


Driussi (33'), Cascante (38'), Biro (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Austin
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Despite the returns of Driussi, Hines-Ike and Valencia, Austin's recent inability to win on their turf means Houston should fancy their prospects of nicking a positive result in the Texan battle this weekend, thus sealing a fourth consecutive MLS road triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
34.72% (1.304 1.3) 23.85% (0.293 0.29) 41.43% (-1.595 -1.6)
Both teams to score 61.63% (-0.687 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (-1.063 -1.06)40.5% (1.065 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (-1.101 -1.1)62.88% (1.103 1.1)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.227 0.23)23.13% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.33 0.33)57% (-0.327 -0.33)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-1.133 -1.13)19.82% (1.134 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-1.868 -1.87)51.9% (1.869 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 34.72%
    Houston Dynamo 41.43%
    Draw 23.85%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.21 0.21)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.365 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.16 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 41.43%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
40.0%
15
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-0
Houston
Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')

Dorsey (60')
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
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