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Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Austin FC

Los Angeles
1 - 1
Austin

Martinez (62')
Segura (45+1'), Atuesta (49'), Tillman (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Obrian (45+2')
Rubio (31'), Fodrey (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Austin
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Austin FC

LAFC still have plenty to play for this season in the league and with their upcoming cup final at the end of the month, and so the need to build momentum towards that is of paramount importance. With that in mind and Austin's inconsistent form plaguing them all season, we expect the home side to just edge out what could be a tight affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawAustin FC
68.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.62% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 14.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.03% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)54.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.07% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.5% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)30.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (0.012 0.01)35.93% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (0.011000000000003 0.01)72.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 68.07%
    Austin FC 14.3%
    Draw 17.62%
Los Angeles FCDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-2 @ 1.15%
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 68.07%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.62%
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Austin

Los Angeles FC
88.5%
Draw
7.7%
Austin FC
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 3.30am
Round of 32
Los Angeles
2-0
Austin
Bouanga (11'), Olivera (61')
Martinez (45+2')

Desler (42'), Pereira (50')
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-1
Los Angeles
Obrian (19')
Driussi (58'), Biro (60'), Valencia (63')
Kamara (90')
Duenas (4'), Segura (20'), Tillman (69')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Austin
2-4
Los Angeles
Vaisanen (75'), Chiellini (90+4' og.)
Rigoni (51'), Zardes (90')
Tillman (13'), Bouanga (45+1' pen., 54'), Olivera (68')
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Oct 30, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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