Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.