We said: Austin FC 1-1 DC United
Austin have been one of the poorest sides in MLS since the league resumed following the Leagues Cup break, and there will be immense pressure on an Oaks side without Zardes and Sebastian Driussi to find a way to keep their top-nine hopes alive.
DC United have picked up draws during their two most recent MLS outings, and we are expecting Rooney's men to do the same on Wednesday night to essentially end Austin's playoff aims.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.