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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Austin
0 - 1
Seattle


Hines-Ike (58')
Hines-Ike (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (63')
Gomez Andrade (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 7 at 2.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 New England
Sunday, July 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-2 Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders have hit their stride in recent weeks and will head into Saturday's game with sky-high confidence. However, Austin have been tough to crack at home this season and we see them holding out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSeattle Sounders
37.01% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.7% (0.0010000000000012 0) 38.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73%44.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)57.71% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.96% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.015999999999998 0.02)56.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 37.01%
    Seattle Sounders 38.28%
    Draw 24.7%
Austin FCDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.01%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.28%

How you voted: Austin vs Seattle

Austin FC
20.7%
Draw
41.4%
Seattle Sounders
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
0-0
Austin
Arreaga (22'), Morris (83'), Atencio (90+8')
Valencia (48'), Kolmanic (57'), Ring (57'), Wolff (89'), Wolff (89'), Cascante (90+6')
Aug 31, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Seattle
Driussi (72')
Zardes (46'), Valencia (53')
Morris (48'), Rusnak (90')
Ragen (37'), Tolo (87')
May 18, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-2
Austin
Montero (79')
Finlay (36'), Zardes (57')
Pereira (74'), Bruin (90+1')
Sep 11, 2022 1am
Mar 20, 2022 8.30pm
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