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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
DC United

Nashville
3 - 4
DC United

Muyl (6', 62'), Williams (45')
Zimmerman (75'), Bunbury (83'), Lovitz (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bartlett (24'), Benteke (76'), Pirani (90+4', 90+7')
McVey (38'), Lesesne (39'), Herrera (41'), Bartlett (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 DC United

Nashville and DC United find themselves in identical predicaments, both sides desperately seeking a late playoff berth and enduring a recent drought of victories. Nevertheless, given the hosts' historical dominance in this fixture on home turf, we are inclined to predict a win for them on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawDC United
44.48% (-1.718 -1.72) 24.78% (0.177 0.18) 30.74% (1.542 1.54)
Both teams to score 56.8% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54%68.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.749 -0.75)20.82% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (-1.188 -1.19)53.49% (1.191 1.19)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (1.058 1.06)28.26% (-1.055 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (1.314 1.31)63.97% (-1.312 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 44.48%
    DC United 30.74%
    Draw 24.78%
Nashville SCDrawDC United
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.167 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: Nashville vs DC United

Nashville SC
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
DC United
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-1
Nashville
Dajome (51', 55')
Peltola (84'), Lesesne (90+8')
Boyd (19')
Surridge (73')
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
2-0
DC United
Leal (18', 37')
Zimmerman (20'), Leal (34'), Bunbury (66')
Zimmerman (64')

Benteke (39'), Fountas (74')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-1
Nashville
Ku-Dipietro (83')
Pines (46'), Williams (85')
Muyl (73')
Muyl (45+1'), Williams (54')
Jun 25, 2022 10pm
DC United
1-3
Nashville
Fountas (59')
Najar (21'), Birnbaum (63')
Lovitz (6'), Williams (45+1', 50')
Lovitz (26'), Zimmerman (54'), Romney (60'), Anunga (84'), Haakenson (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 39
DC United
0-0
Nashville
Canouse (33'), Mora (46')
Williams (62'), McCarty (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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