Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.