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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
35.59% ( -1.92) | 26.43% ( 0.15) | 37.97% ( 1.76) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.95% ( -0.66) | 52.04% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.22% ( -0.57) | 73.77% ( 0.57) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -1.44) | 28.07% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.27% ( -1.86) | 63.72% ( 1.85) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( 0.7) | 26.68% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.07% ( 0.92) | 61.92% ( -0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |