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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
47.84% ( -0.15) | 24.97% ( 0.04) | 27.19% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( -0.09) | 48.95% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( -0.08) | 71.04% ( 0.08) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( -0.09) | 20.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% ( -0.16) | 52.98% ( 0.16) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( 0.04) | 32.24% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( 0.05) | 68.74% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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