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Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 18
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Morecambe
0 - 1
Crewe


Songo'o (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With the Crewe Alexandra treatment room still full to the brim, there may be no immediate solution to the Railwaymen's attacking woes, especially on a ground where they have not triumphed since 2010. Low morale reserves in the Morecambe camp may mean that Tuesday's affair is not a classic, but we have faith in Brannan's men to find a way through and reignite their playoff bid in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
32.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)72.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.11% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.5%
    Crewe Alexandra 41.6%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.6%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crewe

Morecambe
28.0%
Draw
36.0%
Crewe Alexandra
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
5-0
Morecambe
Finney (22', 90'), Lowery (31'), Kirk (38'), Wintle (58')

Lavelle (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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