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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Frankfurt
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Larsson (18'), Tuta (37'), Uzun (60')
Dahoud (62'), Kristensen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Porath (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum
Sunday, February 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel

 Although Eintracht Frankfurt have found wins difficult to come by in recent weeks, they should be seen as clear favourites given their attacking strengths. Additionally, Holstein Kiel's defensive frailty has been concerning this term, and it is hard to see them being competitive on Sunday if they fail to address their issues in the backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHolstein Kiel
69.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 16.85% (0.117 0.12) 13.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.59% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.15% (-0.929 -0.93)30.85% (0.929 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.79% (-1.113 -1.11)52.2% (1.113 1.11)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)8.01% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (-0.586 -0.59)28.24% (0.586 0.59)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)35.21% (0.80500000000001 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03% (-0.849 -0.85)71.97% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 69.5%
    Holstein Kiel 13.65%
    Draw 16.85%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 69.5%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.85%
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel

Eintracht Frankfurt
88.9%
Draw
6.7%
Holstein Kiel
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Holstein Kiel
2-4
Frankfurt
Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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