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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Nacional
vs.
Cerro

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rampla 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Racing
Sunday, October 20 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (4.45%).

Result
NacionalDrawCerro
70.49% (1.723 1.72) 19.39% (-0.98 -0.98) 10.12% (-0.745 -0.74)
Both teams to score 39.13% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (1.876 1.88)51.73% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (1.606 1.61)73.51% (-1.609 -1.61)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (1.116 1.12)13.5% (-1.121 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.45% (2.194 2.19)40.54% (-2.197 -2.2)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.24% (-0.296 -0.3)54.76% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.26% (-0.179 -0.18)87.74% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 70.48%
    Cerro 10.12%
    Draw 19.39%
NacionalDrawCerro
2-0 @ 14.82% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-0 @ 9.89% (0.459 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.226 0.23)
4-0 @ 4.95% (0.417 0.42)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.227 0.23)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 70.48%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.388 -0.39)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-2 @ 2.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.39%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-2 @ 2.69% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.34% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 10.12%

Who will win Saturday's Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro?

Nacional
Draw
Cerro
Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Cerro
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
3-0
Nacional
Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
Abero (29')

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol96211731420
2NacionalNacional96211981120
3Boston RiverBoston River9612139419
4DanubioDanubio9441104616
5Rampla JuniorsRampla104331111015
6Racing de MontevideoRacing935197214
7FenixFenix94141012-213
8Miramar Misiones9342810-213
9Defensor SportingDefensor93331211112
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers93241112-111
11River PlateRiver Plate93241116-511
12Cerro Largo923457-29
13CerroCerro9234814-69
14LiverpoolLiverpool9144710-37
15ProgresoProgreso9135410-66
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10028516-112
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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