Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 27.85% and a draw has a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.55%).
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
50.18% ( 0.34) | 21.98% ( 0.11) | 27.85% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 64.83% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.25% ( -0.9) | 34.75% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.29% ( -1.01) | 56.71% ( 1.02) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.77% ( -0.21) | 14.23% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.03% ( -0.41) | 41.97% ( 0.42) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0.75) | 24.41% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( -1.07) | 58.84% ( 1.08) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |