Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard have turned things around of late and are favourites to emerge victorious against an opposing side without a point away from home in the league so far.
All evidence points to a victory for the home side here, although we expect the visitors to make it a lively contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.53% . A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.64%) . The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result Fortuna Sittard Draw Heerenveen 40.53% ( -0.43) 23.53% ( 0.06) 35.94% ( 0.37)
Both teams to score 63.12% ( -0.16)
61.33% ( -0.23) 38.66% ( 0.23)
39.03% ( -0.25) 60.97% ( 0.24)
80.55% ( -0.29) 19.45% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.71% ( -0.48) 51.29% ( 0.48)
78.35% ( 0.09) 21.64% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.23% ( 0.13) 54.77% ( -0.13)
Fortuna Sittard 40.53%
Heerenveen 35.94%
Draw 23.52%
Fortuna Sittard Draw Heerenveen 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 40.53% 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52% 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.94%
How you voted: Sittard vs Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Draw
Heerenveen
23
rhs 2.0
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