Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
43.26% ( -0.02) | 25.5% ( 0) | 31.24% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.91% ( 0) | 49.08% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( 0) | 71.16% ( 0) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% ( -0.01) | 22.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% ( -0.02) | 56.23% ( 0.02) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( 0.02) | 29.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( 0.02) | 65.37% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |