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Port Vale
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Barnsley

Port Vale
1 - 3
Barnsley

Curtis (31')
Cover (16'), Debrah (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (17'), Keillor-Dunn (64'), Phillips (83' pen.)
Connell (42'), O'Keeffe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Barnsley

Barnsley may be competing in the league above Port Vale, but we think they could experience a tough outing at Vale Park on Saturday. Having gone 11 games without defeat, we believe the hosts will hold the Tykes to a draw to take the tie to extra time where the benefit of their home support could help them get over the line against their League One opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBarnsley
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0) 25.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.0049999999999955 0)47.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)21.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)55.14% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.23%
    Barnsley 31.63%
    Draw 25.13%
Port ValeDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.63%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Barnsley

Port Vale
44.0%
Draw
20.0%
Barnsley
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Port Vale
2-3
Barnsley
Chislett (72'), Shorrock (90+3')
Lowe (75'), Garrity (78'), Debrah (90+9')
Phillips (17'), McAtee (32', 37')
Connell (13')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Barnsley
7-0
Port Vale
Cole (23', 47', 53'), Jones (45' og.), Kitching (60'), Russell (64'), Dallas (90+6')
Styles (18'), Kane (25'), Watters (25'), Russell (72'), Roberts (89'), Shepherd (90+1')

Ojo (39'), Cass (63')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Port Vale
1-3
Barnsley
Smith (14')
Connell (1'), Kitching (21'), Phillips (61')
Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Port Vale
2-1
Barnsley
Politic (14'), Worrall (27')
Edwards (73')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
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16Everton112451017-710
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