League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale3 - 2AFC Wimbledon
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and AFC Wimbledon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
41.45% ( -0.17) | 27.86% ( -0.04) | 30.69% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% ( 0.21) | 58.52% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% ( 0.16) | 79.1% ( -0.16) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( 0) | 27.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.62% ( 0) | 63.38% ( -0) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( 0.27) | 34.63% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.29) | 71.35% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 41.45%
AFC Wimbledon 30.69%
Draw 27.85%
| Port Vale | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.69% |
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Feb 5, 2013 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Form Guide
