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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
37.06% ( -0.16) | 25.07% ( -0.07) | 37.86% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.31) | 45.99% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% ( 0.29) | 68.29% ( -0.29) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( 0.05) | 24.38% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% ( 0.07) | 58.79% ( -0.07) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( 0.26) | 23.96% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( 0.38) | 58.19% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 37.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |