MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 06:55:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Cardiff MU

Maher (53')
Nash (25'), Maher (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clay (32'), Clubb (52')
Clay (47')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 New Saints
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
59.25% (-0.212 -0.21) 20.93% (0.061 0.06) 19.82% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.41% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)38.72% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.03% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)12.78% (0.077 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.93% (-0.155 -0.16)39.07% (0.161 0.16)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.12899999999999 0.13)33.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.14 0.14)69.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 59.25%
    Cardiff MU 19.82%
    Draw 20.93%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.82%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
2-1
Connah's Quay
Evans (10', 54')
Jones (47')
Dugan (23')
Dugan (47'), Edwards (67')
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-3
Connah's Quay

McCarthy (49'), Evans (77'), Kabongo (80')
Williams (31'), Davies (45+2'), Wilde (86')
Williams (83')
Feb 24, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (33'), Price (48' og.)
Kenny (68'), Davies (81')
Rees (74')
McCarthy (57'), Evans (76'), Craven (84')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Cardiff MU
3-1
Connah's Quay
Evans (24'), Jones (31'), Craven (77')
Owen (28'), Craven (88'), Evans (90+2')
Price (42')
Bratley (87')
Franklin (63'), Disney (89')
Franklin (79')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
4-0
Cardiff MU
Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')

Samson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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