We say: Hednesford Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity
Both teams defied their place in the league pyramid and own form to upset the odds in the fourth qualifying round, putting them on somewhat of an even platform here. While Hednesford rose to the occasion versus Gateshead, we feel that Gainsborough will prove too strong in attack given their recent exploits on their travels.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Hednesford Town has a probability of 24.64% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win is 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.74%).
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