MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:49:10| >> :600:372338:372338:
Rotherham logo
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Rotherham
1 - 3
Cheltenham

Wilks (37')
Powell (46'), Odofin (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Colwill (36', 45'), Archer (58')
Kinsella (21'), Young (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Rotherham United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Rotherham United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Even despite their struggles so far this season, particularly going forward, Rotherham United should have too much for their fourth-tier visitors on Saturday, and we can only see the Millers progressing in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
50.02% (0.468 0.47) 24.01% (0.316 0.32) 25.97% (-0.784 -0.78)
Both teams to score 55.93% (-1.781 -1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-2.024 -2.02)45.74% (2.022 2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-1.952 -1.95)68.06% (1.951 1.95)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (-0.593 -0.59)18.34% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (-1.012 -1.01)49.45% (1.011 1.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-1.672 -1.67)31.5% (1.671 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-1.976 -1.98)67.89% (1.975 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 50.02%
    Cheltenham Town 25.97%
    Draw 24.01%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.645 0.65)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.397 0.4)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.02%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.483 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cheltenham

Rotherham United
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Cheltenham Town
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
1-0
Cheltenham
Smith (24')

Boyle (31'), Nlundulu (38'), Sercombe (86'), Thomas (90+9')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Mar 16, 2013 3pm
Nov 17, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
4-2
Cheltenham
Pringle (20'), Frecklington (90'), Nardiello (4', 29')
O'Connor (56'), Odejayi (89')
Lowe (1'), Zebroski (31')
Pack (69'), McGlashan (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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