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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Rotherham
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Smith (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boyle (31'), Nlundulu (38'), Sercombe (86'), Thomas (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Cheltenham Town

The Millers usually fare well on home turf, and we do not see that changing at the weekend when they come up against a Cheltenham side that are struggling to pick up wins. Rotherham have found the net with ease at home in recent times, and we think that they will be among the goals once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
68%18.57%13.42%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01%39.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65%62.35%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.77%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43%41.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94%78.05%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 68%
    Cheltenham Town 13.42%
    Draw 18.57%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.25%
4-0 @ 4.6%
4-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.76%
0-0 @ 4.48%
2-2 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 3.93%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cheltenham

Rotherham United
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Mar 16, 2013 3pm
Nov 17, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
4-2
Cheltenham
Pringle (20'), Frecklington (90'), Nardiello (4', 29')
O'Connor (56'), Odejayi (89')
Lowe (1'), Zebroski (31')
Pack (69'), McGlashan (78')
Dec 30, 2011 3pm
Cheltenham
1-0
Rotherham
Pack (11')
Penn (57')

Harrison (41'), Tonge (47'), Raynes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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