League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road
Cheltenham2 - 2Lincoln
We said: Cheltenham Town 2-0 Lincoln City
Lincoln cannot buy a goal at the moment, and the fact that they only had two shots on target against one of the worst defences in the league last time out suggests that their troubles may not be over yet. Cheltenham will also be coming into this match short of confidence - and their recent defensive record should give Lincoln some belief that they might end their drought - but the hosts should still have enough to claim all three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 29.21% | 26.27% | 44.53% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
