FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 3
Cheltenham

Assal (36', 55'), Palmer (41', 65')
McCormick (80'), Woodyard (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

May (2'), Williams (73'), Heneghan (81' og.)
Hussey (80'), Norton (89'), Horton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Both sides will have dreams of a cup run this season, and with that in mind, we expect this to be a close-fought affair. Cheltenham have drawn three of their last four away games, and we think that Saturday's encounter will end all square with a replay required to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Cheltenham Town
40.11%	25.04%	34.85%

Both teams to score 57.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93%

46.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63%

68.37%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16%

22.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44%

56.56%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.43%

60.57%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 40.11%

Cheltenham Town 34.85%

Draw 25.04%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.11%	1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	1-2 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.85%