FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Breyer Group Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Guiseley

Palmer (44')
Palmer (59'), Hartigan (79'), Csoka (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nicholson (29'), Spencer (43'), Cantrill (45+2'), Hutchinson (74')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between AFC Wimbledon and Guiseley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Guiseley win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Guiseley
61.51%	20.68%	17.8%

Both teams to score 55.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.14%

40.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75%

63.24%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2%

12.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.9%

39.1%

Guiseley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57%

36.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78%

73.21%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 61.51%

Guiseley 17.8%

Draw 20.68%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Guiseley
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.58% 3-1 @ 6.82% 3-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 3.51% 4-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.49% Total : 61.51%	1-1 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.68%	1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.5% Total : 17.8%