Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.