The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Lincoln City and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Hartlepool United
Although Lincoln have been out of form in recent weeks, they will be confident of beating League Two opposition in front of their own fans. However, we can see Hartlepool claiming at least a draw on Saturday, which would be enough to force a replay and keep both teams in the hat for Monday's third-round draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 54.4% | 23.77% | 21.83% |
| Both teams to score 51.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
