Kawasaki4 - 0Sagan Tosu
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 53 | 92 |
2 | Yokohama F Marinos | 38 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
Result | ||
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
62.96% (![]() | 20.98% (![]() | 16.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.69% (![]() | 45.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% (![]() | 67.64% (![]() |
Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% | 13.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.94% (![]() | 41.06% (![]() |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.79% (![]() | 41.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.26% (![]() | 77.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 11.24% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.15% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.94% | 1-1 @ 9.97% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.98% | 0-1 @ 5.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.06% |
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')