J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 26, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Avispa Fukuoka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 20 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, August 20 at 6am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, August 20 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, August 20 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
48.13% ( 0.13) | 27.84% ( -0.11) | 24.03% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.36% ( 0.34) | 61.64% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.53% ( 0.25) | 81.47% ( -0.25) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( 0.22) | 25.8% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( 0.29) | 60.75% ( -0.29) |
Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.05% ( 0.18) | 41.95% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.61% ( 0.15) | 78.39% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 48.13%
Avispa Fukuoka 24.03%
Draw 27.83%
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.13% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.03% |
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 11am
Sep 25, 2021 11am
Avispa Fukuoka
3-0
Sagan Tosu
Higuchi (45+2')
Mar 21, 2021 5am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 05:30:50
6pm
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 31 | 62 |
2 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Machida Zelvia | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 |
5 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 50 |
6 | Tokyo Verdy | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 48 |
7 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
10 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 41 |
11 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 40 |
13 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 39 |
14 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 39 |
15 | Kyoto Sanga | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 35 |
17 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 35 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 25 |
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