Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
| 15 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | -19 | 41 |
| 16 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | -7 | 37 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
47.86% ( -0.31) | 26.43% ( 0.06) | 25.72% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
