Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
| 15 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | -19 | 41 |
| 16 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | -7 | 37 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
47.86% ( -0.31) | 26.43% ( 0.06) | 25.72% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.03) | 55.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.02) | 76.83% ( 0.03) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.16) | 23.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.77% ( -0.23) | 57.23% ( 0.23) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.21) | 37.07% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.21) | 73.86% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 47.86%
Kashiwa Reysol 25.72%
Draw 26.42%
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.72% |
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
Reysol
1-3
Sagan Tosu
Da Silva (37')
Segawa (49')
Segawa (49')
Higuchi (13'), Koyamatsu (31', 55')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Mar 17, 2021 10am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Reysol
Hayashi (29', 64')
Tashiro (54')
Tashiro (54')
Nov 21, 2020 6am
Sep 13, 2020 10.45am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Reysol
Hayashi (45' pen.), Harakawa (48')
Ryang (83')
Ryang (83')
Form Guide
