Reysol

1 - 3

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.