Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.